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Here I will not discuss Trump and Putin.
Trump and Putin are crystal clear.
Trump is a terrible tragedy that has befallen America – he is a total, senile, pathetic, narcissistic, hopeless, demented clown.
Putin brazenly and openly demonstrates that for him the War can have only one – and no other – outcome: the unconditional capitulation of Ukraine.
Here I will only share my growing anxiety about the direction in which Europe seems to be evolving in relation to the War.
And this evolution is:
from
Europe – the main guarantor of Ukraine’s security;
to
Ukraine – the main guarantor of Europe’s security.
In other words – let us arm Ukraine to the teeth, make its army absolutely combat-ready, so that Putin does not even dare to think of bringing the War onto European territory. Because if he does, he will clash with the powerful Ukrainian army.
But!
Here are my (at least) four counterarguments…
First, such an evolution would be (endlessly) dangerous thinking in the spirit of “there is Europe, and there is Ukraine.” A gross mistake! Europe and Ukraine are one whole. Ukraine IS in Europe, part of Europe. From the point of view of European security and identity, Europe and Ukraine are inseparable.
Second, the issue is not only weapons (which for the above goal are still almost nonexistent). What about the people? Ukraine has exhausted its mobilization potential; it has no one left to bring to the front. And if it is assigned the role of an armed-to-the-teeth minefield guarding Europe, neither will the millions of emigrants return, nor will any man from 15 to 55 remain in Ukraine.
Third, this shortsighted European strategy would demoralize Europe’s own readiness to defend itself in the inevitable escalation of the war westward. Europeans will thus (self-)deceptively buy themselves a few more years of peace, which will be squandered in what has become the main European sport – indulgence in pleasures; consumption of material goods; obsession with football and similar passions; chicken-like geopolitical blindness to rising risks and threats; gazing at their own navel – and a bit below.
Fourth, if this selfish geostrategic thinking prevails among Euro-leaders, then with a light hand, in addition to Ukraine (and where Ukraine goes, others on Europe’s periphery will follow!), all those bordering Russia by land or sea will also become frontline states against Putin’s monstrosity! And the long-cherished dream of a two-speed Europe will finally come true – rather, of a Europe of two kinds of states:
— those with the terrible, cruel, ugly, brutal misfortune to be close, even directly adjacent, to Russia (they will be the sanitary cordon protecting Europe);
— and those farther from Russia, who can continue to live as before, simply allocating a few billion here and there to arm to the teeth the frontline states that drew the short straw (frontline also includes Bulgaria – unless Putin has taken it by then).
I truly hope that my concerns about this evolution in the strategic vision of Europe’s leaders turn out to be exaggerated or even outright false. Because they are like the road to Hell, to the European Hell – only paved with absolute illusions and absurd delusions.
04.09.2025
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