In this site I express only and uniquely my personal views and convictions, therefore it could in no way bind the institutions in which I am employed.
Site Mission Statement >>

I still hope that the West will not fail

Let's say it openly and frankly:
We are witnessing the first very disturbing negative signals that things in, about, with and around Ukraine are not going well.
And the reason is not that with thousands of corpses, Russia ends the war year 2023 with an offensive in separate places, and especially for some hills with waste from the mines near Avdeevka.
And the reason is not that - except for the thousands of dead and the destruction of villages and towns - there is (almost) nothing new on the Ukrainian front.

STUDIES ON SECURITY: STUDY 24. ON THE FUNDAMENTAL ROLE AND ESSENTIAL SIGNIFICANCE OF UNCERTAINTY IN RISKOLOGY

  These Studies on Security contain only the results of my scientific views, research, analyses and models. In other words, they provide a SUMMARY of my MAJOR contributions to the Science of Security.
  
  STUDY 24. ON THE FUNDAMENTAL ROLE AND ESSENTIAL SIGNIFICANCE OF UNCERTAINTY IN RISKOLOGY
  
  The meaning and content of uncertainty as an extremely important systemic, structural, value, resource and security and risk related phenomenon are analyzed.

THE WEST CANNOT UNDERSTAND WHAT IT IS LIKE TO LIVE IN RUSSIA

The other day a friend of mine in Russia wrote to me with a heavy, bitter sigh exactly this:
- The West cannot understand what it is like to live in Russia

I was thinking...

Leaving aside a number of essential details, we can say that the West is a civilization whose main directions of development for several centuries have been the following:

1. Reduction of constant, daily Fear, which for hundreds, thousands of years, tens of thousands of years has been the main thing for people, for men, for human beings, for individuals – fear of punishment from God (or Gods), fear of the Ruler (leader, the despot, the emperor, the king).

ON THE BROKEN LINK BETWEEN POLITICS AND SCIENCE IN THE WEST

A dramatic trend in the West since the beginning of this century is the severing of the direct link between Politics and Science. Namely, this relationship was one of the colossally effective resources of Western democracies.
Security science has long studied self-organizing criticalities – systems which are
complex,
dynamic,
subject to the so-called Power Law,
associated with a series of bifurcation points (i.e. turning points, points of complex choices and sometimes absolutely mutually exclusive scenarios).

THE ALTERNATIVE TO THE WEST – BECOMING THE NORTH

So far, only a superficially stated thesis. Argumentation – some other time.

I always thought that the West had an alternative scenario for adapting to post-bipolar times, namely to become the North. Or at least the supporting structure of the North.

To clarify, the directions of the geopolitical compass are as follows:
The West is democratic countries.
The East is undemocratic countries.
The North is rich countries.
The South is poor countries.

Syndicate content