Strategy Synergy Security

I will present four of my reflections on what is undoubtedly the most discussed topic lately – that of the Ukrainian counter-offensive.

1.
To a no small and hopefully not fatal degree, as the counter-offensive approached, the West buckled.
As Sun Tzu says, the first to leave the battlefield is the thought of retreat.
That is why the bridges behind the back were often burned – so that there was no possibility of retreat.
Therefore, before the decisive battle, Spartacus killed his horse – telling his army that here they will either win or die.

1. When Comrade Xi visited his vassal Pu, there were many different analyses. Then I wrote the following: with this visit, Comrade Xi increases his value and importance to the West. He used Pu's helplessness to become more important to the key players in the West.

1.
Commentator:
- The Russian government started massive, undisguised terror against its own people. It seeks to divide people into two - fighting in Ukraine and lying in the GULag. Russia's governance is becoming increasingly primitive - punishments, punishments, punishments. Increasingly severe and increasingly cruel punishments.
...
2.
Some Western organizations write to Putin: Be so kind, be so good and release the political prisoners. Other Western organizations allow Russian athletes to return to international competitions.
And Putin's Russia presides over the UN Security Council!
Hypocritical West! Alas...
...
3. The West is doomed to humiliation and self-humiliation if it continues with its double standards towards Putin's Russia! The unity of the West is necessary; one arm of the West needs to know what the other is doing; it takes will and even courage from the West to isolate Russia everywhere, in all organizations, in all formats. Putin's Russia today is a Monster. An ugly hybrid of Hitlerism and Stalinism.

04/18/2023

Let's abstract from the daily details to look at the processes from above and longer term.
Why did I claim before February 24 that the War of rashism against Ukraine was inevitable, and on February 23 I wrote that it was only a matter of hours away?
Because unlike the vast majority of analysts in the West, I did not see this War as an anomaly, as an abnormality, but as a rear-guard fight with a retreat of the current world order.
The current world order was formed gradually after the end of the bi-polar confrontation. Part of it was also the West's basic deal with Russia - the West receives energy raw materials from Russia at normal (in separate periods and at reduced) prices, and in return turns a blind eye to the actions of the Russian government inside Russia.

A new proof of my thesis that from everywhere - from the left and the right, from the West and from the East, a mass counter-offensive against the Ukrainian counter-offensive is starting is the article of
Richard Haass and Charles Kupchan
"The West Needs a New Strategy in Ukraine. A Plan for Getting From the Battlefield to the Negotiating Table"
in Foreign Affairs.